14/9/2015
Address to the EU Ambassadors – Cairo
Good Morning Dear Friends,
I apologize for my country giving the International community so much trouble particularly in terms of continuous civil wars, abuse of Human Rights, and failure in humanitarian relief.
The present Regime in Khartoum are past masters in political summer saults, a political Chameleon if ever there was one:
- It started its adventure as an ideological Regime with a sacred mission as expressed by the popular Islamic Arabic conference. An intercom for Islam. They condemned all other political parties and declared JIHAD upon the others in Civil War.
- To carry its mission, the Regime oppressed all other political expression including its own party in favor of a police State.
- It failed to achieve its targets and so compromised with the SPLM/A under Regional and international pressure. Through the CPA the Regime turned into a diarchy .
- Far from preserving the unity of the country, building peace, and allowing democratic transformation, the Regime suffered the dissolution of the country’s unity, pursued policies which since 2003 led to civil wars in Darfur, the failure to implement the CPA protocols led to three civil war fronts in Abyei, Southern Kurdufan, and Southern Blue Nile. To face these challenges, the Regime cancelled whatever liberal items in the Constitution as a result of the CPA and became more than ever a One Man Rule State.
- In the oil revenue decade (1999-2011), the Regime became a virtual rentier state, abandoning the country’s productive schemes, dismantling the country’s welfare state, and using the oil revenue in political largesse, security expenditures and Corruption. In the period (2011-2015), the Regime became more than ever internally, Regionally and Internationally isolated.
- In January 2014, the Regime which hitherto insisted upon negotiating only bilaterally with armed groups sought another change of skin and offered a comprehensive national dialogue. However, the Regime could not deliver on the necessary conditions for a viable dialogue, for two reasons:
- They could not trust a dialogue with a neutral chairmanship, as necessary.
- They could not tolerate criticism of the RSF which have become the main power in support of the Regime.
- The Regime no longer trusted the regular armed forces, it retired its political cadres who are the real conspirators behind the 1989 coup d’etat, and became more than ever dependent upon the RSF who have tribal not national identity. This new balance of forces is inherently unstable, and with the internal, regional and International isolation, and the failures of the economy, and in security, an adventurous type of coup is in the horizon.
- We, who represent a wide spectrum of political opinion including the NUP, the country’s biggest group in terms of political clout and performance, the SRF the country’s armed opposition, parties in the Consensus Forces, and several national and youth formations, plus several groups who abandoned the NCP, are planning to hold a Comprehensive National Conference to agree upon a National Charter for the future of the country, a United Front, and a Roadmap towards that end. The Roadmap consists of two scenarios: a National peaceful Sudanese spring, or a comprehensive National dialogue a la (CODESA) of 1992 in South Africa.
We believe that either Scenario could deliver comprehensive and Just Peace and democratic transformation for the country.
- The Khartoum Regime has established a dialogue mechanism, the so called 7+7 with some more involvement of others to prepare for dialogue in October 2015. That process, so far, involves the Regime’s allies and as a dialogue mechanism is empty of credibility.
- The AUPSC in its 456 meeting, in 12th Sep 2014, recommended a Roadmap for Dialogue which all the Sudanese stakeholders accepted.
- The Khartoum Regime accepted the AUPSC recommendations but failed to attend the March 2015 pre-dialogue meeting called for by the AUPSC process.
- They gave no objective reason for this absence, but it is possible that they expected the April 2015 general elections, and association with the Gulf Decisive Storm, to enhance their position, so that they may dictate rather than negotiate. Their expectations failed to materialize.
- The most recent reports by several independent observers have reported continuous Human Rights transgressions, namely:
- Report by the envoy of the Human Rights Council after his visit to Sudan.
- Report by the AUPSC to Darfur.
- Report by world Human Rights watch on the atrocities committed by the RDF.
Consequently it is expected that the UN Human Rights Council due to meet later this month in Geneva to report the Human Rights situation in Sudan under article 4 ratter then 10.
- The Regime’s greater oppression due to the January 2014 constitutional amendments, the Regime’s greater war mongering represented by the free hand given to the RDF militias, and the Regime’s neglect of the AUHIP’s efforts to get all the Sudanese stakeholders to serious National Dialogue for Peace and democratization, have persuaded the AUPSC to take the unprecedented step of giving a hearing to the Sudan Call Front, and decide unanimously after that in its 539 Council, to recommend a Roadmap for the National Dialogue in Sudan. The representatives of the peoples of Sudan welcomed the AUPSC’s recommendations, but the Khartoum Regime, once again, rejected them.
- The Regime is fiddling with an empty dialogue process which represents its supporters and allies while the country is internally divided and Internationally isolated.
- The numerous civil war fronts, the increasing numbers of IDPs and refugees, the deficit economy, the rampant corruption, make the Sudan a Failed State.
- To protect its declining control, the Regime has given the security apparatus executive powers to be enforced by the tribal militias, thus usurping the function of the official armed forces, the Islamicist political cadres who were the main conspirator behind the 1989 coup d’état have been sidelined to please Gulf donors, and the main power base has become the tribal militias who have cultivated political ambitions. This new balance of power is inherently unstable and could lead to any of three or more adventurous coups.
- The Sudan is already a magnet to terrorist activities and a source and/or conduit to massive illegal immigration. More chaos in Sudan would only mean more of the same.
- As the last freely elected PM of Sudan, and leader of the country’s mass based party, and on behalf of the majority of the Sudan Call Forces, and other political parties who call for peace and democracy in Sudan, we are now engaged in two pursuits , namely:
- To unite all the political, youth movements, NGOs who demand peace and democratization to commit themselves to a National Charter for the future peaceful and democratic Sudan, to bring all under a National Front, and to decide upon a Roadmap towards the implementation of the National Charter .
- That Roadmap consists of mobilizing the country for a massive popular uprising in the 1964, and 1985 traditions, but alternatively we fully endorse renewing confidence in the AUHIP mediation to pursue the cause of a comprehensive, viable National Dialogue for the Sudan.
- Finally, what we request form the EU is:
- To support item 4 for the Khartoum Regime in the UN Human Rights Council later this month.
- To renew confidence in the AU HIP and to give it more clout.
- To support the AUPSC in its efforts for a peaceful and democratic Sudan.
- To address the UNSC to elaborate its 2046 Resolution, and other Sudan related Resolutions into a comprehensive Resolution for Sudan titled: Peace and democratic stability for Sudan, under chapter Seven of the UN Charter.
- The UNSC Resolution should offer restorative justice for Sudan officials if they deliver upon Peace and democratization. This would be an alternative to ICC
- To offer to Support debt relief as per HIPC for Sudan if the Regime complies with peace and democratization.
- We appeal to you to unite EU, US, and all International opinion in support of the legitimate aspirations of the peoples of Sudan.
- To lobby Gulf states, Russia, and China, to take a comprehensive long range view on Sudan rather than short term views which endanger the future of Sudan, and increase the suffering of the peoples of Sudan.
Thank you for listening and double thanks for responding
